Why Electoral Reforms Were Needed Yesterday for Uganda’s Political Stability

Uganda’s political stability is often judged by the regularity of its elections. Every five years, ballots are cast, results are declared, and the country is encouraged to move on. But stability is not simply about holding elections; it is about the confidence citizens place in the process and its outcomes. On this measure, Uganda faces a slow-burning crisis. Electoral reform is no longer a matter of political convenience or partisan bargaining—it is a constitutional and national necessity that is long overdue.

Elections serve a vital legal and political purpose: they confer legitimacy, resolve competition peacefully, and renew the social contract between citizens and the state. In Uganda, however, successive electoral cycles have increasingly failed to fulfil this role. Nearly every national election in recent history has been followed by petitions, disputed results, heavy security deployments, restrictions on civic space, and lingering public resentment. When elections consistently generate controversy rather than closure, they cease to stabilize the polity and instead deepen mistrust.

A major source of this instability is the persistent crisis of confidence in Uganda’s electoral management framework. While the Constitution provides for an independent Electoral Commission, independence must be both legal and perceived. The current appointment process—largely controlled by the Executive—has produced a credibility deficit that technical competence alone cannot resolve. In constitutional democracies, the legitimacy of an electoral body depends as much on public trust as on formal authority. Without broad consultation, transparent vetting, and meaningful parliamentary consensus, the Commission struggles to command national confidence, especially in closely contested elections.

Electoral reform must therefore begin with strengthening the institutional independence, accountability, and transparency of the Electoral Commission. This requires revisiting how commissioners are appointed, the security of their tenure, and the effectiveness of oversight mechanisms. Such reforms would not weaken the state; they would reinforce its legitimacy.

Equally urgent is reforming the legal environment in which elections are conducted. The Constitution guarantees freedoms of assembly, expression, association, and political participation. Yet during election periods, these rights are frequently curtailed through selective enforcement of public order laws, administrative barriers to opposition activity, and extensive involvement of security agencies in civilian political processes. While maintaining public order is a legitimate state function, excessive securitization of elections often produces the very instability it is meant to prevent.

Clear legal limits on the role of security forces during elections, stronger civilian oversight, and enforceable accountability for abuses are essential. Elections should be governed primarily by electoral law, not by coercion. A citizen who feels threatened by the state while exercising political rights is unlikely to trust the outcome of the process.

Campaign financing is another structural weakness. Uganda’s electoral laws provide minimal regulation of campaign spending, allowing vast disparities in resources to go largely unchecked. This undermines the constitutional principle of equal political competition and fuels the perception that elections are won through financial power rather than popular consent. Reforms introducing transparency in campaign funding, enforceable disclosure requirements, and realistic spending limits would help restore fairness and public confidence.

The urgency of reform is heightened by Uganda’s demographic reality. It is one of the youngest populations in the world, with most citizens born under a single presidency and having never witnessed a peaceful transfer of power through the ballot. For many young Ugandans, elections have become rituals devoid of meaningful choice. Political disengagement in this context is not apathy; it is a rational response to a system perceived as closed. A political order that fails to meaningfully include its youth is not stable—it is fragile.

Electoral reform should not be framed as a concession to opposition parties or as a threat to incumbents. On the contrary, credible elections benefit those in power by strengthening legitimacy, reducing post-election conflict, and reinforcing the rule of law. Governments that emerge from trusted processes govern more effectively and leave behind stronger institutions. History—within Africa and beyond—shows that states that delay reform often confront it later under crisis conditions, when compromise is harder and the costs far higher.

Uganda still has an opportunity to choose reform over rupture. Declining voter turnout, recurring electoral disputes, growing political cynicism, and increasing reliance on coercion are warning signs, not inconveniences. Stability built on fear, force, or resignation is temporary. Stability grounded in credible institutions, lawful competition, and public trust endures.

For Uganda’s political stability, electoral reforms were needed yesterday. The next best time is now—before delay turns a manageable challenge into a national reckoning.

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